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The Texas housing market is at a critical crossroads. Skyrocketing home prices, driven in part by limited inventory and restrictive local zoning laws, have made homeownership increasingly unattainable, especially for first-time buyers. But change is on the horizon.
Senate Bill 15 (SB15), recently passed by the Texas House, proposes a significant shift: reducing the minimum lot size for new single-family homes in the state’s largest cities. While the original proposal would have allowed homes on lots as small as 1,400 sq ft, amendments now set the minimum at 3,000 sq ft, still a meaningful reduction from the 5,000 to 7,500 sq ft minimums common today. What SB15 Means:
Why This Matters for First-Time Buyers Data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that first-time homebuyers made up the smallest share of the market in recent history. And according to the Texas A&M Real Estate Research Center, the percentage of homes sold in Texas for $200,000 or less has drastically declined, from over 35% in 2014 to just under 7% in 2024. CDS Community Development Strategies has seen this trend firsthand through our ResIntel housing studies across Texas. Local governments are struggling to meet demand for affordable housing. When smaller homes can’t be built, entry-level options simply vanish. Let’s be clear: Without new, smaller, more affordable homes, first-time homebuyers will continue to be locked out of the American Dream. Allowing for small home construction means supporting future generations of homeowners, increasing housing supply, and preventing the middle-class migration crisis seen in other states. How ResIntel by CDS Can Help At CDS, we work closely with cities, chambers, and economic development agencies across Texas to analyze local housing needs through our ResIntel studies. Our work combines quantitative data with qualitative on the ground field research that helps communities identify where gaps exist—especially for entry-level housing—and plan for sustainable growth. If your city is navigating affordability challenges or preparing for zoning changes like those proposed in SB15, ResIntel can help you make confident, informed decisions. As we move through 2025, CDS – the leader in housing market studies - is here to provide the insights you need. Let’s connect to discuss what these trends mean for you! Mike Prats [email protected] | 281-582-0924 Ty Jacobsen [email protected] | 281-582-0864 Steve Spillette [email protected] | 281-582-0847 |
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